Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Never took the bus, did they?

This entertaining little bit (H/T WND) suggests that by 2030, most Americans will no longer own a vehicle, and in the illustration they are suggesting that among the neutral factors are availability, comfort, and performance.

As if it makes no difference that my own vehicle is sitting in my own driveway, and I get to decide how clean it is, and what type of vehicle it is.  It appears that these advocates of public transit, ride sharing, and autonomous vehicles have never ridden the bus or otherwise experienced "the tragedy of the commons."

Digging deeper, they are claiming that speed of travel, convenience, and safety are factors militating against AVs and transit....again, you've got to assume that they've never imagined their own vehicle sitting in front of their own home, and also (again) that they've never taken the city bus.

Transit, AVs, and the like have their place, but out of touch "studies" like this really don't do their cause any favors among people who have ridden the bus.


Jim Peet said...

My take is that in some locals (eg Minneapolis & suburbs), Uber will replace the 2nd vehicle.

We could get by with 1 vehicle now, but the 15 year old truck is so cheap (relatively) to keep.

I surmise that 3 metroplexes are where no car is needed: San Fran, Boston, & NYC.

My daughter and s-i-l made it with no car in Boston and now no car in San Fran. For weekend get-a-ways they rent.

The autonomous driving "revolution" will be in trucking - eg Otto

Jim Peet said...

should be "locales" ... sorry

Auto ownership will be a consideration in the "Total Cost of Living".

In dense metro areas, rents are & will be high but transportation costs low (the no car option)

In "clean and and breezes" areas, housing will be reasonable but autos needed

I'll take the latter

Bike Bubba said...

Agreed. If I lived in Gotham, or one of the big cities of Europe, I'd probably skip owning a car. I just don't get how anyone familiar with life in Australia or the U.S. could possibly conclude that a vehicle would be optional for most people.