Friday, December 01, 2023

A mathematical confession from Moscow

Russian dictator and thug Vladimir Putin has ordered that the size of the Russian army be increased by 170,000 men, following  an earlier boost of 137,000 men.  Now the thing that is very striking is that the boosts ordered are about the same as Ukrainian estimates of Russian casualties (currently about 330,000), and it's not clear whether this increased recruitment/conscription even includes those "soldiers" "recruited" from Russian prisons.

I've always viewed the Ukrainian estimates of Russian losses to be, shall we say, probably a bit embellished, but with this inadvertent confession by the former KGB officer, I'm starting to think that it's startlingly accurate or maybe even a bit conservative.  And in that light, it's worth noting that the number of Russian casualties is rapidly getting to be about twice the size of the original invasion force, and is closing in on the number of casualties the U.S. experienced during all of World War Two, where we spearheaded the defeat of three world powers.  The only war where the U.S. clearly experienced worse casualties is now....the Civil War.

I'm praying that soon, thinking Russians realize the extent of this disaster and add one more person to the casualty list, and then withdraw from a place they never should have been in the first place.

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