Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Never took the bus, did they?

This entertaining little bit (H/T WND) suggests that by 2030, most Americans will no longer own a vehicle, and in the illustration they are suggesting that among the neutral factors are availability, comfort, and performance.

As if it makes no difference that my own vehicle is sitting in my own driveway, and I get to decide how clean it is, and what type of vehicle it is.  It appears that these advocates of public transit, ride sharing, and autonomous vehicles have never ridden the bus or otherwise experienced "the tragedy of the commons."

Digging deeper, they are claiming that speed of travel, convenience, and safety are factors militating against AVs and transit....again, you've got to assume that they've never imagined their own vehicle sitting in front of their own home, and also (again) that they've never taken the city bus.

Transit, AVs, and the like have their place, but out of touch "studies" like this really don't do their cause any favors among people who have ridden the bus.


Jim Peet said...

My take is that in some locals (eg Minneapolis & suburbs), Uber will replace the 2nd vehicle.

We could get by with 1 vehicle now, but the 15 year old truck is so cheap (relatively) to keep.

I surmise that 3 metroplexes are where no car is needed: San Fran, Boston, & NYC.

My daughter and s-i-l made it with no car in Boston and now no car in San Fran. For weekend get-a-ways they rent.

The autonomous driving "revolution" will be in trucking - eg Otto

Jim Peet said...

should be "locales" ... sorry

Auto ownership will be a consideration in the "Total Cost of Living".

In dense metro areas, rents are & will be high but transportation costs low (the no car option)

In "clean and and breezes" areas, housing will be reasonable but autos needed

I'll take the latter

Bike Bubba said...

Agreed. If I lived in Gotham, or one of the big cities of Europe, I'd probably skip owning a car. I just don't get how anyone familiar with life in Australia or the U.S. could possibly conclude that a vehicle would be optional for most people.

Unknown said...

Back in the day, I lived in Madison, Wisconsin, where public transportation was (and is) superb for a metro area of its size (currently around 560,000). I rode the bus every day to work because nearby parking was expensive and very difficult to find.

Today, I live in the Columbus, Ohio metro area. Public transportation is terrible. I have no problem driving anywhere and just bought a new Prius v wagon to save on gas costs. But it's ridiculous to walk about .4 of a mile to the closest bus stop and then probably need to transfer to go anywhere but downtown. People here are probably just too wedded to their vehicles, I guess.

Bike Bubba said...

Thanks for the visit--and I was born just south of you in Circleville, believe it or not. My take on buses is that wherever I've been, I've tried to use them, but if you're going anywhere but the standard "spokes", the transfers just eat up your day. It's faster to bike!

Put differently, that "transfer" thing, along with "cleanliness" and "convenience", explains a lot of why people prefer their own vehicles. Thankfully, in anything but a full size SUV or pickup, driving is also more efficient and environmentally sound--buses typically get about 25 passenger-miles per gallon of diesel, which is about 17mpg for gas. Not too difficult to beat that in most cars, even in stop and go driving.