The recent attack on the Ukrainian town of Hroza, about twenty miles west of the front lines, with an Iskander ballistic missile (range about 500km/300 miles), suggests to me that either the Russian missiles are incapable of hitting targets accurately, or some Russian general decided to waste a precious and expensive SRBM on a civilian target only 20 miles from the front lines--indicating that Russia no longer has adequate longer range artillery for hitting mid-range targets.
Hitting a target that seems almost all civilian--Hroza is a town of 300 people that is not even on a major roadway or rail line--is not a good look for Russia. Doing so with a missile that costs an estimated three million dollars suggests that Russia is desperate to make some impact, and does not have the proper weapons for the job.
It's not a gimme that Ukraine will win, but it does appear clear that Russia is running out of key items, and a gentle "nudge" like some ATACMS and F-16s will push their war off the cliff.
Update: Russian spokesmen are claiming now that Russia does not target civilian targets. I guess all those bombed out apartment buildings, grain storage units, hospitals, schools, and the like were figments of my imagination, then? One has to wonder precisely how one destroys one's soul to be able to spout off such bulls**t with a straight face. Putin delenda est!
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